The revocation of command of Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador is coming, and we continue to see a Mexican opposition that lacks political articulation and leadership; just as happened to Venezuela in the first decade of the 21st century, a decade in which the South American country also carried out a revocation of its mandate and in that The ruling party was victorious as a result of the dismantling of the opposition.
A few hours after Mexicans mobilize to the polls, we see an opposition without setting a national agenda or winning a round, but trying to do their best to maintain the state of Aguascalientes and tie the state of Hidalgo, two of the six states where local elections will be held next 5 of June.
The one that is already the winner is the Fourth Transformation project. And not because most people vote in favor of the president following, but because the Mexican opposition is so busy with so many open fronts, that it doesn't even know which one to enter.
The INE, despite making a very important budgetary effort and making every (limited) penny to organize the consultation on April 10, and coordinating the elections in the six states on June 5, has been the most attacked victim in the process.
We have seen how important actors in the 4Q governments have done what they wanted with the law and with the scolding that the INE has given them. This makes us see a number of things beyond the organization of the consultation. It makes us see that the president's popularity gives him legitimacy and license to do and undo as he pleases. Bypassing existing regulations, using your fellow party members as spokespersons and, of course, ignoring the INE.
What is most striking is the absolute absence of the opposition to be a counterweight. Never before has there been an opportunity like this to show that their words can be translated into action; that is, that after so much talking and criticizing Andrés Manuel's government, they can now have a real option of revoking their mandate (at least in theory). However, they have opted for message dispersion, internal confusion and they don't know whether to tell people to vote for NO, or not to vote directly. It's a shame.
This is where I ask myself the question whether the revocation of the mandate is towards the president, or is it a game of revocation of the opposition. Moreover, just over 60 days before the elections in six states, Andrés Manuel is back on everyone's lips and it becomes clear that he is the electoral anchor of Morena, a party with less structural organization than the others.
Andrés Manuel López Obrador has decided to put everything on the table and evaluate with this democratic exercise whether or not Mexicans support the fourth transformation project, a project that today has an acceptance of more than 60%, according to the latest opinion polls by the polling houses Demoscopia Digital and Polygram.
Therefore, the big winner is already the Fourth Transformation, the big loser is the opposition, the big victim is the INE, and as is customary, Mexicans are the bait.
Luis Daniel Pérez Vázquez is a political consultant, specializing in electoral and government campaigns in countries such as Mexico, the United States, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Puerto Rico, Romania or Spain
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