In the midst of the heat wave, the Cold Front 41 will enter Mexico; the rains will reach these states

Precipitation could be accompanied by electric shocks and conditions for hailfall

MEX8311. NACAJUCA (MÉXICO), 02/10/2020.- Habitantes intentan hoy proteger su ganado de las inundaciones causadas por las constantes lluvias del frente frio número 4, en el poblado de Nacajuca, Tabasco (México). Este viernes se pronostican lluvias puntuales extraordinarias acompañadas de descargas eléctricas en Campeche, el norte de Chiapas, Tabasco y Yucatán, además de viento con rachas de 70 a 80 kilómetros por hora. Asimismo se espera un oleaje de 2 a 4 metros de altura significativa y condiciones para la formación de trombas frente a las costas de Quintana Roo y Yucatán, informó el Servicio Metereológico Nacional (SMN) en su último boletín. EFE/Jaime Ávalos

After a week in which some regions of Mexico had temperatures ranging between 40 and 45 degrees Celsius, the 41st Cold Front will cause heavy rains in the states of Campeche, Chiapas and Tabasco, where some flooding may occur in low-lying areas.

The National Meteorological Service (SMN) reported that this Cold Front will cross the Gulf of Mexico, and on Thursday night it will reach the Yucatan Peninsula, so heavy rains are also forecast in Oaxaca and Veracruz.

In addition, rainfall is expected in Puebla and Yucatan, while showers will be felt in Mexico City, State of Mexico, Hidalgo, Nuevo León, Quintana Roo, San Luis Potosí, Tamaulipas, Tlaxcala and Zacateca s, and some isolated rains in Coahuila, Durango, Guanajuato, Guerrero, Morelos and Querétaro.

Predicted rainfall for the Yucatan Peninsula, southeastern and eastern Mexico could be accompanied by electric shocks and hail conditions, said the National Water Commission (Conagua).

It should be borne in mind that the mass of cold air that propels to the front will cause a North event, with wind gusts of 80 to 90 kilometers per hour in the Gulf and Isthmus of Tehuantepec and the central and southern coast of Veracruz. There will also be strong waves, 1 to 3 meters high on the coasts of the Gulf of Tehuantepec, Tabasco, Tamaulipas and Veracruz.

According to the National Meteorological Service (SMN), 56 cold fronts are planned for the current season, so there is still a possibility that another 15 will help alleviate the low level of water storage in the country.

As of April 4, total storage in Mexico's main reservoirs has a deficit of 3.718 billion cubic meters, Conagua said.

In contrast, this Thursday afternoon is expected to be very hot with maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 degrees in Guerrero, Jalisco, Michoacán, Nayarit, Sinaloa and Sonora.

In addition, maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 degrees are estimated in Colima, Guanajuato, Baja California and Baja California Sur, as well as 30 to 35 degrees in Aguascalientes, Chihuahua and Durango, San Luis Potosi, Tamaulipas and Zacatecas.

Our country faces an adverse scenario because the meteorological phenomenon “La Niña” leads to a climate of intense drought in much of the country, and according to the National Water Commission, rainfall levels have fallen markedly in recent months compared to previous years. This situation has resulted in the country's 210 main dams having low levels of water storage.

“La Niña” causes a lot of evaporation and few clouds, while causing radiation to enter directly,” said specialists from the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM).

The SMN, from Conagua, reported that from October 1, 2021 to April 3, 2022 it rained 27.6% less than the historical average for that same period. Meanwhile, from 1 January to 3 April, there was a deficit of 32.5% of rainfall compared to the national historical film of that period.

Some states such as Nuevo León are already suffering the ravages of drought, where the supply for Monterrey, its metropolitan area, is under heavy pressure due to the fact that their dams are at minimum levels.

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