The President of the Republic, Pedro Castillo, is only a few hours away from facing a possible presidential vacancy. Eight months after assuming the presidency, various clashes have been witnessed between the Executive and Legislative Branches, events that, as well as alleged cases of corruption, have made this political crisis seem endless.
“This political crisis does not end because there is no degree of feeling or political pact of coexistence that could have been discussed or articulated by Pedro Castillo. He won the elections in the midst of much controversy, albeit in a legal and constitutional way. The Government never achieved a majority of its own, it never achieved political strength, that instability is the one that has been accentuated, because a sector of Congress is approaching vacancy, but it did not do so a few months ago,” said political analyst and journalist Pedro Tenorio.
For Daniel Ku-Hop, political analyst, we are still in this crisis, because the country has a lack of institutional development and a precarious party system.
“There is a lack of institutional development that is not as solid as it could be, it can have negative effects such as the obvious lack of a precarious party system and the impossibility of having a decent policy in the country,” he said.
In addition, Tenorio highlights the presence of political figures who have been entering and leaving his Government, such as that of the Secretary General of Free Peru, Vladimir Cerrón and former presidential candidate, Verónika Mendoza.
“Vladimir Cerrón is a bloc that remains, but in the case of Verónika Mendoza, it has had characters who have entered and left the Castillo government, those ups and downs have caused a part of the left to support the president,” he added.
EXECUTIVE BRANCH VS. LEGISLATIVE POWER
Since Pedro Castillo was sworn in as president, there have been constant discussions and confrontations between the two powers of the country, however, Ku-Hop and Tenorio agree that these discussions have not taken place since the president entered the presidency, but since previous governments historically.
“Historically, they have always been contrary institutions, both have supervisory roles and both are political in nature, so they face each other, and it is a good business to antagonize the Legislative,” said Daniel Ku-Hop.
“These are two branches of government that are constantly at odds, but they are discussions that have to be handled politically and civilized,” Tenorio added.
Regarding the image of the Congress of the Republic, in the latest CPI poll, he said that the disapproval reaches 76.7%, while 16.1% agree. 7.2% do not know or think. This Congress is seen as “one of the worst”, but Pedro Tenorio believes that it has just started, but that “he is one of those who has had a worse attack, he still has a long way to go”.
“The worst Congress we have ever had is at the time of Fujimorism, there was no independent power, the majority in every sense was from Fujimori, the orders of Palacio were given directly by him, and everything was advised by Vladimiro Montesinos,” he commented.
For Daniel Ku-Hop, this Congress has a similar level of approval to the previous ones. “This Congress is quite representative in Peruvian society. It is not necessarily one of the worst, it has other tendencies that are more negative as declared laws that have been presented in the short period they have,” he continued.
PRESIDENTIAL VACANCY
A few days ago they approved the motion for vacancy due to moral incapacity against the president, which will be debated in the afternoon. This concept of moral incapacity is widely used today, but Pedro Tenorio mentioned that there is no impeachment in Peru and added that there is no constitutional reform describing the moral incapacity.
“Nowadays it is interpreted as a subject of corruption. In Peru, there is no political judgment of the president in the absence of such a mechanism, the presidential vacancy is used due to moral incapacity, it is a process that has been developed emphatically,” he said.
In addition, he emphasizes that in order for a politician to be investigated, his Government must be terminated. “We have to wait for that person to testify and then the impeachment is given, that does not exist in Peruvian politics, it is enough for the majority to think that it is immoral,” he added.
For his part, Ku-Hop commented that he thinks it is an inconvenient and unlikely vacancy. “The president is unable to handle everything and with an interest that is evident to the State, it is harmful for Peru that he leaves and the entire process of dismissal is done, but it is up to Castillo if it is the only way out,” he said.
One solution that the journalist also gives is that the president must create alliances with the parties of Congress, that is to say, create “internal rings” in order to avoid being overrun.
“He has to create alliances with other parties, just as Alan García did, he didn't have a majority in Congress, but he got support from Fujimorism at the time, there are center parties with which he was able to create them,” he said.
IMAGE THAT REFLECTS DINA BOLUARTE AS POSSIBLE PRESIDENT
If the presidential vacancy were granted, the Vice-President of the Republic and Minister of Development and Social Inclusion, Dina Boluarte, a person who according to Pedro Tenorio, has the image of being more independent and dealing “with the people he knows in the ministry”.
“If Dina Boluarte takes over the presidency, people are going to want to get her out because 'it's part of the same thing'. She is a much more independent person both in her attitudes, in her followers and in her relationship with the people who work in the ministry, they are people who are present in her professional life,” he said.
Let us recall that a few months ago, the secretary general of Peru Libre, Vladimir Cerrón expelled Boluarte from the party for declaring that he did not embrace the ideology of that party, he did this through his official Twitter account. If she would assume the presidency in case the votes were reached for Pedro Castillo's vacancy, Tenorio confirms that her Government would be its own and of national reconstruction.
“He barely makes a statement, they take it out on Twitter or do a disciplinary process. If she assumes the presidency, she would try to make a Government of national reconstruction and with the participation of other sectors,” he concluded.
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