The picture is difficult but in the world of football anything is possible, today Colombia is running out of quota for the Qatar 2022 World Cup, but tomorrow the luck may be different: maybe it will beat Venezuela and why not? , celebrate that Peru does not go beyond the draw with Paraguay. The effectiveness of scoring, the firmness when it comes to defending, and even luck, will be decisive on the last day of the qualifying rounds, in which more than one Tricolor fan will surely be with the cell phone calculator in hand, when not with the open window of Google updates on other commitments.
Well, sticking to mathematics, those led by Reinaldo Ruedo have two different formulas to attend the top football competition, one with a win and the other with a draw. The scenarios are as follows:
1. May Colombia beat Venezuela on its visit to Guyana and Peru lose or draw with Paraguay. If it happens, the coffee team will climb to fifth place in the qualifiers, that is, they will play the third repechage in the Asian qualifiers table.
2. Let Colombia draw with Venezuela, Peru fall to Paraguay and Chile lose to Uruguay, although some southern media have referred to a possible Santiago Pact in the last of these confrontations.
If there is one motivating phrase in football, it is that “the statistics are there to break them” and the Colombian team will have to stick to them, because at the end of the Playoffs they will need them. The Tricolor does not beat Venezuela as a visitor, five commitments, and the match on March 29 will have a particular ingredient: José Néstor Pekerman, one of the best coaches in the continent, on the bench of La Vinotinto.
“Venezuela is going to have the support of its fans and now with Pékerman's work it is an evaluation for us, if we have anything to go to the world cup. He is a rival that is going to demand from us and he is going to show the character and maturity of our team,” Reinaldo Rueda said at a press conference prior to the match, and he is right. Below is the data of the latest commitments between both teams played in the neighboring country.
2001: Venezuela 2-2 Colombia
2005: Venezuela 0-0 Colombia
2009: Venezuela 2-0 Colombia
2013: Venezuela 1-0 Colombia
2017: Venezuela 0-0 Colombia.
Waiting for Peru to lose or draw against Paraguay can be even more tedious than trusting Colombia to beat Venezuela. The Guaraníes, who have just begun a process under the baton of Guillermo Barros Schelotto, did not win any of their last commitments in Lima, and if they are eliminated from the world cup, it is precisely because of their performance. Of course, they come from beating Gustavo Alfaro's Ecuador 3-1, which is why they can surprise.
2000: Peru 2-0 Paraguay
2003: Peru 4-1 Paraguay
2007: Peru 0-0 Paraguay
2011: Peru 2-0 Paraguay
2015: Peru 1-0 Paraguay.
As for Chile, the precedents are not very different. The last time he fell in his territory to the Charrúas was 21 years ago, the rest did he respect the house. Perhaps this is the opportunity for the closing of this Conmebol World Cup cycle to be atypical. We'll have to see.
2001: Chile 0-1 Uruguay
2005: Chile 1-1 Uruguay
2009: Chile 0-0 Uruguay
2013: Chile 2-0 Uruguay
2016: Chile 3-1 Uruguay.
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